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Tabele: ........................................................................................................................................................................................4
Grafikoni: ....................................................................................................................................................................................5
Mape: .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 7
Box: .............................................................................................................................................................................................8
Lista skraćenica ..........................................................................................................................................................................9
1.
Uvod .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 10
2.
Poljoprivreda Srbije.......................................................................................................................................................................13
1.1.
Proizvodnja.......................................................................................................................................................................... 13
1.2.
Tržišni lanci .......................................................................................................................................................................... 15
1.3.
Tržišna struktura ..................................................................................................................................................................17
1.4.
Agrarna politika ...................................................................................................................................................................20
1.5.
Trgovina poljoprivrednim proizvodima ...............................................................................................................................21
3.
Trgovinska politika i sporazumi...................................................................................................................................................24
3.1.
Trgovinska politika ..............................................................................................................................................................24
3.2.
Trgovinski sporazumi .......................................................................................................................................................... 25
4.
Trgovinski partneri ....................................................................................................................................................................... 32
4.1.
EU......................................................................................................................................................................................... 32
4.1.
Turska .................................................................................................................................................................................. 32
4.2.
Belorusija .............................................................................................................................................................................34
5.
Iskustva sa liberalizacijom NZČ.................................................................................................................................................... 37
Tri faze trgovinske razmene .................................................................................................................................................... 37
Trgovinska razmena po grupama proizvoda NZČ..................................................................................................................39
Trgovinska razmena po zemljama...........................................................................................................................................40
Zaključak ...................................................................................................................................................................................40
6.
Trendovi proizvodnje i izvoza u svetu .........................................................................................................................................42
7.
Efekti liberalizacije .......................................................................................................................................................................44
7.1.
Generalni efekti ...................................................................................................................................................................44
1.6.
Mogućnost promene po sektorima i proizvodima ........................................................................................................... 46
8.
Strategija ublažavanja posledica i mogućnost korišćenja šansi ................................................................................................48
9.
Efekti na grupe/proizvode ...........................................................................................................................................................49
Metodologija ............................................................................................................................................................................49
Merenje efekata ....................................................................................................................................................................... 51
9.1.
Žitarice ................................................................................................................................................................................. 51
Pšenica...................................................................................................................................................................................... 55
Kukuruz.....................................................................................................................................................................................59
9.2.
Voće .....................................................................................................................................................................................65
Jabuke...................................................................................................................................................................................... 68
Šljive.......................................................................................................................................................................................... 73
9.3.
Povrće .................................................................................................................................................................................. 77
Paradajz .................................................................................................................................................................................... 81
Paprika ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 86
Krompir..................................................................................................................................................................................... 91
Luk ............................................................................................................................................................................................97
9.4.
Industrijsko bilje ................................................................................................................................................................ 102
Soja ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 102
9.5.
Mleko i mlečni proizvodi ................................................................................................................................................... 106
9.6.
Stočarstvo i proizvodnja mesa........................................................................................................................................... 112
Goveđe meso........................................................................................................................................................................... 112
Svinjsko meso......................................................................................................................................................................... 120
Živinsko meso......................................................................................................................................................................... 129
1.7.
PAPs ................................................................................................................................................................................... 136